The Future of Globalisation in a Unipolar Age

AuthorJohn Rapley
Pages308-322
308 PROMOTING MULTILATERALISM IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Heaven, goes the European saying, is run by a British administration
with German efficiency, and is filled with Italian lovers and French cuisine.
Hell, on the other hand, is run by an Italian administration with French
efficiency, and is filled with German lovers and British cuisine.1
This adage serves as a useful starting-point for any inventory of the
1990s experience with globalisation. When the Berlin Wall fell, the West
lapsed into a brief spell of euphoria that began with US President Bush’s
declaration of a new world order and quickly gave way to the optimistic
global age envisioned by his successor, Bill Clinton. In this vision, trade
integration would lead not only to rising incomes, but to the multiplication
of capitalist entrepreneurs around the globe. These entrepreneurs would go
on to form the basis of an emergent civil society which, eager to defend its
expanding private interests, would roll back the powers of the state and
thereby help democracy to take root. Given the time-worn wisdom that
democracies do not go to war with one another,2 this development would in
turn produce global peace. In an atmosphere of enhanced peace and
prosperity, the planet’s citizens would use their rising incomes to avail
themselves of all the new advances in medical technology, not to mention
the explosion of consumer products coming out of the 1990s technological
boom. In short, economic liberalization — which is to say, globalisation —
would create a world which was healthier, happier, richer and more
peaceable.
Yet while the combination of available factors might have suggested
we were headed for this heavenly scenario, in point of fact, more often than
not they were combined to produce the sort of perverse outcomes alluded to
in the opening paragraph. Globally, incomes rose in the 1980s (at least
until the Asian Crisis), but the gains were unevenly distributed: while the
number of billionaires on the planet rose, so too did the number of poor
people.3 The peace-dividend did not last long, as the Cold War gave way to a
multiplicity of low-intensity regional conflicts of a post-modern variety.4
Medical breakthroughs sounded great in theory; in practice, Western
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THE FUTURE OF
GLOBALISATION IN A UNIPOLAR AGEGLOBALISATION IN A UNIPOLAR AGE
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GLOBALISATION IN A UNIPOLAR AGE
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